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*
Division of Immunology and Organ Transplantation, Department of Surgery,
University of Texas Houston Health Science Center - Medical School, Houston,
Texas
Biometrics Consulting, Houston, Texas
Covance Health Economics and Outcomes Services, Inc., Washington,
DC
§
Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, New Jersey.
Correspondence to Dr. Barry D. Kahan, Division of Immunology and Organ Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Texas Houston Health Science Center - Medical School, 6431 Fannin, Suite 6.240, Houston, TX 77030. Phone: 713-500-7400; Fax: 713-500-0785; E-mail bkahan{at}orgtx71.med.uth.tmc.edu
Abstract. The present study applied a receiver operating
characteristic (ROC) analysis to assess the role of intraindividual
variability of cyclosporin A (CsA) drug exposure in predisposing renal
transplant recipients to the occurrence of chronic rejection, as well as to
increased health care costs using a resource-based economic analysis. Two
hundred and four adult renal transplant recipients were treated with tapering
doses of prednisone (Pred) and with a concentration-controlled strategy that
selected doses of the olive oil-based formulations of CsA (Sandimmune®)
that achieved target concentrations based on serial pharmacokinetic profiles.
The ROC analysis revealed an inflection point of plots of the coefficient of
variation (%CV) of CsA exposure versus the risk of chronic rejection
at
28.4% for the average concentration (Cav),
i.e., the dosing interval-corrected area under the concentration-time
curves, and
36% for the trough concentration (C0). The
incidence of chronic rejection over a period of 5 yr was 24% among the less
variable (LV) versus 40% among the variable (V) cohort. The economic
analysis revealed that the total mean facility and physician costs per patient
were $48,789 versus $60,998, respectively (P < 0.01). The
degree of variability displayed by any individual could only be predicted by
serial measurements of CsA concentrations, and not by demographic features,
laboratory determinations, clinical characteristics, individual or mean values
of any observed CsA concentration, or other pharmacokinetic parameters
calculated following a single drug exposure. Thus, strategies that reduce
intrapatient variability of CsA exposure over time may lead to reductions in
chronic allograft loss and in treatment costs.
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