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Published ahead of print on June 25, 2008
J Am Soc Nephrol 19: 1983-1988, 2008
© 2008 American Society of Nephrology
doi: 10.1681/ASN.2008010038

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CLINICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY

Higher Levels of Albuminuria within the Normal Range Predict Incident Hypertension

John P. Forman*, Naomi D.L. Fisher{dagger}, Emily L. Schopick* and Gary C. Curhan*

* Renal Division and Channing Laboratory and {dagger} Division of Endocrinology, Diabetes, and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts

Correspondence: Dr. John P. Forman, Channing Laboratory, 3rd floor; 181 Longwood Avenue, Boston, MA 02115. Phone: 617-525-2092; Fax: 617-525-2008; E-mail: jforman{at}partners.org

Received for publication January 11, 2008. Accepted for publication April 24, 2008.

Higher levels of albumin excretion within the normal range are associated with cardiovascular disease in high-risk individuals. Whether incremental increases in urinary albumin excretion, even within the normal range, are associated with the development of hypertension in low-risk individuals is unknown. This study included 1065 postmenopausal women from the first Nurses’ Health Study and 1114 premenopausal women from the second Nurses’ Health Study who had an albumin/creatinine ratio <25 mg/g and who did not have diabetes or hypertension. Among the older women, 271 incident cases of hypertension occurred during 4 yr of follow-up, and among the younger women, 296 incident cases of hypertension occurred during 8 yr of follow-up. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine prospectively the association between the albumin/creatinine ratio and incident hypertension after adjustment for age, body mass index, estimated GFR, baseline BP, physical activity, smoking, and family history of hypertension. Participants who had an albumin/creatinine ratio in the highest quartile (4.34 to 24.17 mg/g for older women and 3.68 to 23.84 mg/g for younger women) were more likely to develop hypertension than those who had an albumin/creatinine ratio in the lowest quartile (hazard ratio 1.76 [95% confidence interval 1.21 to 2.56] and hazard ratio 1.35 [95% confidence interval 0.97 to 1.91] for older and younger women, respectively). Higher albumin/creatinine ratios, even within the normal range, are independently associated with increased risk for development of hypertension among women without diabetes. The definition of normal albumin excretion should be reevaluated.


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