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Clinical Transplantation |




* Core Unit of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Departments of;
Nephrology;
Pathology, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna;
Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry, Hospital Wels, Wels, Austria; || Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics and Renal Division; and ¶ Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
Address correspondence to: Dr. Rainer Oberbauer, Universitätsklinik für Innere Medizin III, Abteilung für Nephrologie und Dialyse, Wädahringer Gürtel 18-20, A-1090 Vienna, Austria. Phone: +43-1-40400-4358; Fax: +43-1-40400-4452; E-mail: rainer.oberbauer{at}commat;meduniwien.ac.at
Received for publication September 14, 2005. Accepted for publication December 27, 2005.
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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Similarly, the effectiveness of ACEI and ARB on the progression of kidney disease has been documented in a variety of native kidney diseases and in transplant nephropathy (68). It remains unknown, however, whether these protective effects on GFR and proteinuria translate into prolonged transplant survival.
So far, only one randomized, controlled, multicenter trial was designed to address prospectively the effectiveness of ARB use on CV mortality and transplant survival in renal allograft recipients. Although as of 2003 all of the 700 planned patients in >30 centers had been enrolled and randomly assigned to either candesartan or placebo, the trial was stopped early because the observed event rate was only one quarter of the expected rate that was used for planning of the study. Thus, no statistically valid information is available on the utility of ARB to prolong patient or graft survival after renal transplantation (9).
To address this unresolved issue, we studied the association between ACEI and/or ARB use and patient and graft survival in the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry. The United Network for Organ Sharing and the US Renal Data System databases cannot be used to answer these questions because data on medication use other than immunosuppressive therapy are not available for study. Austria exhibits a similar prevalence rate of patients with functioning renal transplants as the United States (approximately 400 per million population). Because of the liberal organ donation law, >90% of transplants are performed with kidneys from deceased donors.
| Materials and Methods |
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For the evaluation of patient and graft survival, we made use of data from all patients who received their first kidney transplant at the Medical University of Vienna between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2003. This selection led to a sample of 2031 patients and an equal number of grafts, because only the first transplant was analyzed. Before 1990, almost no patient received treatment with an ACEI, and the first substantial use of ARB started in 1996.
Variables and Definitions of Variables
All variables that were recorded in the database are listed in Appendix 1. The variables that were available from the OEDTR database at the time of transplantation include recipient demographics; underlying renal disease; course of renal replacement therapy(ies); panel reactive antibodies (highest and latest); hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, and cytomegalovirus serologies; immunosuppressive regimen; and immediate posttransplantation course. Available donor characteristics in the EUROTRANSPLANT registry include cold ischemia time; HLA mismatches in A, B, and DR; age; gender; cytomegalovirus serology; cause of death; last serum creatinine; and use of vasopressors during the intensive care unit stay. Hepatitis B virusor hepatitis C viruspositive donors were not accepted. The Vienna Kidney Biopsy Registry contains standardized descriptions of renal histopathology for each performed biopsy.
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Arterial hypertension was defined as mean arterial BP of >107 mmHg or at least one antihypertensive drug in >50% of the time at risk. Patients were classified as having coronary heart disease when they had unstable angina or a myocardial infarction or when coronary stenosis was documented by angiography or radioisotopic technique. Heart failure, vascular disease, and diabetes status were defined on physicians discretion.
Delayed graft function (DGF) was defined either as dialysis dependency in the first week after engraftment or when the median calculated creatinine clearance of all seven creatinine readings in the first week was below <13 ml/min. The Modification of Diet in Renal Disease method was used to estimate creatinine clearance because it has been shown that values that are derived by this formula correlate better than other available equations with true GFR in transplant recipients (10,11).
Biopsy-confirmed acute rejection (BCAR) and chronic allograft nephropathy (CAN) were defined according to Banff 93 and 97 criteria, respectively (12,13). A total of 3546 biopsies were obtained within the study period. Banff criteria were initially not applied to 248 biopsies that were performed before January 1, 1994. These biopsies were reclassified according to the Banff 97 criteria by one of the investigators (H.R.). BCAR was defined as Banff borderline and higher grades/types of cellular rejection. Diagnosis and grading of lesions of native kidney biopsies and of the donor kidney before transplantation were performed according to the World Health Organization classification (14). Proteinuria was recorded as numerical variable in milligrams per day and derived annually from 24-h urine collections. For further analysis, proteinuria was categorized according to clinical standards into three groups: <500, 500 to 3500, and >3500 mg/d.
Immunosuppressive regimens were classified into four groups: (1) The standard immunosuppressive regimen was defined as triple therapy with corticosteroids, mycophenolate mofetil, and a calcineurin inhibitor (CNI); (2) triple therapy with corticosteroids, azathioprine, and cyclosporine; (3) all corticosteroid-free regimens; and (4) CNI-free immunosuppression or other. Induction therapy with a polyclonal antibody was performed in 378 (16.8%) patients; IL-2 antibody induction was used very infrequently (<1%) and thus was analyzed together with the polyclonals.
Outcomes
Patient survival time was defined as the time from first kidney transplantation until death or study termination. Patients who survived <3 mo were treated as censored and did not contribute any information in the survival analysis.
Graft loss was defined as permanent return to dialysis or retransplantation or death. Graft loss before 90 d from transplantation was treated as censored. For the calculation of functional graft survival, patients who died with functioning grafts were censored.
Statistical Analyses
Patient characteristics were compared between groups that were defined by ACEI/ARB use (ACEI/ARB, ever used; noACEI/ARB, never used). Continuous variables are presented as mean and SD or as median and interquartile range (IQR) and compared between groups using two-sample t test. Categorical variables are presented as counts (proportions) and are compared using
2 tests. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association of ACEI/ARB use and patient survival and graft survival, respectively (15). ACEI/ARB use was analyzed as a time-dependent variable (16). Survival curves were graphically compared between the patient groups defined above using the method of Kaplan and Meier (17). The P values shown in the Kaplan-Meier plots refer to log rank.
Potential confounders that were considered in the analysis of patient survival were year of first renal replacement therapy, cumulative time on dialysis, cumulative transplantation number, recipient age, body weight, and GFR. Furthermore, diabetes status, vascular disease, heart disease, hemoglobin, cholesterol, and number of antihypertensive drugs entered the analysis as time-dependent variables. We did not include erythropoietin and statin therapy in our analysis because this would have led to colinearity with hemoglobin and cholesterol. In the analysis of graft survival, we considered as potential confounders DGF; panel reactive antibodies at time of transplantation; HLA mismatch; donor age; BCAR; CAN; and the time-dependent variables diabetes status, vascular disease, heart disease, proteinuria, hemoglobin, cholesterol, number of antihypertensive drugs, oral antidiabetic medication, insulin, and immunosuppressive regimen. Because a Cox model involving longitudinal measurements of continuous covariates requires precise measurements of those covariates at each event time, we aggregated proteinuria, hemoglobin, and cholesterol before entering further analysis by computing the patient-specific medians per calendar year.
We chose four different approaches to adjust the association between ACEI/ARB use and patient and graft survival for potential confounders. First, we addressed confounding of ACEI/ARB use by clinical indication by means of propensity score analysis. Propensity scores were computed using logistic regression of ACEI/ARB use on all potential confounders (18). Because ACEI/ARB use and most confounders are time-dependent variables, we used all longitudinal observations of each patient, weighting observations proportionally to the period for which ACEI/ARB use and covariates remained unchanged. The estimated propensity scores then were categorized into quintiles, which were used to stratify Cox regression analysis. Second, the propensity score was entered into the Cox model as a time-dependent continuous covariate. Third, we built an "experience-based" multivariable model that included variables that we considered clinically relevant. Fourth, we defined a variable as a confounder when its inclusion in the univariate model involving only ACEI/ARB use changed the hazard ratio (HR) of ACEI/ARB by >10% (19).
We checked for interactions between the effect of ACEI/ARB use and of proteinuria and CAN on graft survival and for interactions between the effects of ACEI/ARB use and of time of first renal replacement therapy, diabetes status, CV comorbidity, and number of transplants on patient survival. For continuous independent variables, the linearity of their relationship with the log hazard was assessed by graphical inspection of martingale residuals. The assumption of proportional hazards for the covariates was tested formally by calculating the slope of the scaled Schoenfeld residuals on time. Statistical analysis was conducted using the SAS for Windows software, version 9.1.3 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC).
| Results |
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Patient Survival
Median survival time was longer than the study period of 14 yr (25th percentile 7.9 yr). Of 1892 patients who were still under observation after 90 d from transplantation, a total of 414 patients died after 90 d from transplantation and within the 14 yr of study, 185 in the ACEI/ARB and 229 in the noACEI/ARB group. Ten-year survival rates were 74% in ACEI/ARB users but only 53% in noACEI/ARB recipients (Figure 1). The main causes of death were CV events (37.7% of all deaths) followed by infection (30.1% of all deaths) and malignancies (9.8% of all deaths).
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Interaction analysis did not reveal any statistically significant effect of the variables, time of first renal replacement therapy, diabetes status, and number of transplants on the HR of ACEI/ARB. The assumption of proportional hazards for the covariates was not violated in any of the Cox models as evidenced by the nonsignificant slope in a generalized linear regression of the scaled Schoenfeld residuals on time. When the analysis was limited to those with a functioning graft at 1 yr (n = 1717), the results for patient and graft survival were maternally unchanged (data not shown).
Graft Survival
The 2031 first-time transplants that were entered in the analysis of graft survival comprised a total of 9618 graft years at risk with a median time at risk of 5.2 yr (IQR 2.1 to 9.3). Median graft survival was 6.4 yr (IQR 3.1 to 10.0). Functional graft survival (censored for death) is graphically compared between ACEI/ARB and noACEI/ARB users in Figure 2. ACEI/ARB users experienced fewer graft losses than noACEI/ARB users, mainly at the beginning of follow-up. Ten-year functional graft survival rates were 76% in ACEI/ARB users and 71% in noACEI/ARB users. When death was counted as an event, actual graft survival was significantly longer in patients with ACEI/ARB therapy (Figure 3). Of 1806 graft periods that exceeded 90 d of observation, 253 failed in 1117 ACEI/ARB-treated patients and 290 in 689 noACEI/ARB patients. The 10-year graft survival rates were 59% among ACEI/ARB users and 41% among noACEI/ARB recipients.
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In the analysis of actual graft survival (counting death as event) using a Cox model stratified for quintiles of propensity scores, the HR for graft loss was 0.58 (95% CI 0.47 to 0.72) in the ACEI/ARB compared with never users. The HR was identical when the propensity score was included as a numerical variable into the model (HR 0.57; 95% CI 0.46 to 0.71). The fit of the propensity score model was adequate as confirmed by the C-index of 0.85. Similar as in the patient survival analysis, parameter estimates of effect and HR of ACEI/ARB use remained almost identical regardless of the type of analysis.
The multivariable model that consisted of variables that were based on clinical transplant expertise revealed an HR of 0.55 (95% CI 0.43 to 0.70) for ACEI/ARB and actual graft failure (Table 4). The number of antihypertensive drugs, a proxy for the severity of arterial hypertension, was highly associated with graft malfunction as were CAN and proteinuria. Donor age, diabetes status, and "other immunosuppression" could be confirmed to be independent predictors of graft failure only when BCAR, CAN, and the time-dependent variable proteinuria were removed from the model (data not shown). The use of polyclonal induction therapy was not significantly associated with graft survival in a multivariable model that was adjusted for immunologic risk for graft failure. The multivariable model that was built with the identified confounders, number of antihypertensive drugs, heart and vascular disease, serum cholesterol, and hemoglobin again showed similar results (Table 4). The HR for actual graft failure was 0.51 (95% CI 0.37 to 0.72) in ACEI/ARB users compared with nonusers. The number of antihypertensive drugs and lower level of hemoglobin were highly associated with adverse outcome. Analysis of interactions between ACEI/ARB effect and the clinically plausible other variables such as DGF, CAN, and proteinuria failed to show any significance when the entire graft lifetime was considered. In the subgroup of 257 patients with biopsy-confirmed CAN, 104 grafts subsequently lost their function within the follow-up period. Biopsies that revealed CAN were performed at a median of 3.1 yr after transplantation. The ACEI/ARB-treated patients exhibited a longer remaining median graft survival compared with patients without ACEI/ARB treatment (4.6 versus 2.7 yr; P = 0.002).
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| Discussion |
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Part of the effect of ACEI/ARB therapy on graft survival may be due to blockade of recently discovered AT1 receptor antibodies that are associated with therapy refractory vascular rejection in renal transplant recipients (26). Furthermore, AT1 receptors mediate inflammation and are involved in the profibrotic action exhibited by potent cytokines. Angiotensin II is also synthesized by the proximal renal tubule cells and exhibits powerful hemodynamic and nonhemodynamic effects, all implicated in the progression of chronic kidney disease (27).
In renal transplant recipients, only one randomized, controlled, multicenter trial was designed to investigate the effect of ARB on patient and graft survival. This international trial with the acronym SECRET (Study on Evaluation of Candesartan after REnal Transplantation) was started in 2000 but stopped after all patients had been enrolled and followed up for a median of 23 mo, because the observed event rate was substantially lower than originally expected.
A recent retrospective study by Tutone et al. (28) investigated the association of BP and patient and graft survival in 622 kidney transplant recipients. The authors also reported ACEI use to be associated with prolonged patient and graft survival, but this statement is not supported by their statistical evaluation. The authors statement is based on the fact that although no difference was found in patient and graft survival between ACEI users and nonusers, patients who received ACEI were older and exhibited higher BP. It is of note that only 11% of the study population was receiving ACEI, and no statistical adjustment for comorbidities other than diabetes status was performed. Furthermore, medications other than antihypertensive therapy were not reported, and transplant kidney biopsy findings such as acute rejection and CAN were not included in the analysis.
Other authors found ACEI/ARB therapy effective in preventing deterioration of renal function in advanced transplant failure. The main cause of late graft loss is CAN. The pathophysiology of this entity is not well characterized, but it is assumed that many alloantigen-dependent and alloantigen-independent mechanisms contribute to it. The diagnosis of CAN is made on transplant biopsies and classified histologically. The functional consequence of CAN is usually deteriorating renal transplant function. Artz et al. (29) recently published a small cohort study on the effect of ACEI/ARB in patients with established CAN. The grafts of the 23 patients who were treated with ACEI/ARB survived significantly longer than those of recipients without this medication. The median graft survival in the ACEI/ARB group was roughly 6.5 yr but only 2 yr in patients without that medication. Accordingly, grafts with biopsy-confirmed CAN remained functional only for 2.7 yr in the noACEI/ARB group but functioned for 4.6 yr in the ACEI/ARB group in our analysis.
Proteinuria that results from transplant glomerulopathy, one of the hallmarks of CAN, is another functional consequence of CAN. In our analysis, proteinuria was highly associated with graft failure. Several small and mostly uncontrolled studies showed that ACEI/ARB exhibit antiproteinuric activity (3032). It is unclear, however, whether the antiproteinuric effect is indeed independent of the antihypertensive effect (33,34). We did not observe an interaction of proteinuria and ACEI/ARB use, suggesting that the effect of ACEI/ARB on graft survival is equal in patients without and with proteinuria. It was shown previously that residual proteinuria in ACEI/ARB-treated patients is an equal risk factor for progression of renal disease as comparable grade proteinuria in untreated patients (35).
| Conclusion |
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| Acknowledgments |
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We are indebted to the administrators and all contributors of the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry.
| Footnotes |
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| References |
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