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Clinical Epidemiology
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Association of Multiple Plasma Biomarker Concentrations with Progression of Prevalent Diabetic Kidney Disease: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study

Sarah J. Schrauben, Haochang Shou, Xiaoming Zhang, Amanda Hyre Anderson, Joseph V. Bonventre, Jing Chen, Steven Coca, Susan L. Furth, Jason H. Greenberg, Orlando M. Gutierrez, Joachim H. Ix, James P. Lash, Chirag R. Parikh, Casey M. Rebholz, Venkata Sabbisetti, Mark J. Sarnak, Michael G. Shlipak, Sushrut S. Waikar, Paul L. Kimmel, Ramachandran S. Vasan, Harold I. Feldman, Jeffrey R. Schelling and on behalf of the CKD Biomarkers Consortium and the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study Investigators
JASN January 2021, 32 (1) 115-126; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1681/ASN.2020040487
Sarah J. Schrauben
1Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
2Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Haochang Shou
2Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Xiaoming Zhang
2Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Amanda Hyre Anderson
2Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
3Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, Tulane University, New Orleans, Louisiana
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Joseph V. Bonventre
4Division of Renal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
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Jing Chen
5Department of Medicine, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana
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Steven Coca
6Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York
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  • ORCID record for Steven Coca
Susan L. Furth
7Division of Nephrology, Department of Pediatrics, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Jason H. Greenberg
8Section of Nephrology, Department of Pediatrics, Program of Applied Translational Research, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut
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Orlando M. Gutierrez
9Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology, University at Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama
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Joachim H. Ix
10Division of Nephrology-Hypertension, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego School of Medicine, San Diego, California
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James P. Lash
11Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
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Chirag R. Parikh
12Section of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, New York
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Casey M. Rebholz
13Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland
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Venkata Sabbisetti
4Division of Renal Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts
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Mark J. Sarnak
14Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts
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Michael G. Shlipak
15Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, California
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Sushrut S. Waikar
16Section of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts
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Paul L. Kimmel
17National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases, Bethesda, Maryland
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Ramachandran S. Vasan
18Departments of Medicine and Epidemiology, Boston University Schools of Medicine and Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
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Harold I. Feldman
1Department of Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
2Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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Jeffrey R. Schelling
19Division of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, MetroHealth Campus, and Department of Physiology and Biophysics, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, Ohio
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Significance Statement

In diabetic kidney disease, ascertaining which patients will progress to ESKD is difficult. Efforts are under way to determine whether plasma biomarkers can identify these high-risk individuals; such biomarkers may inform development of therapies and selection of individuals for clinical trials. In this case-cohort study of well-phenotyped individuals with diabetic kidney disease, increased concentrations of plasma biomarkers related to tubular injury, inflammation, and fibrosis (kidney injury molecule 1 [KIM-1], TNF receptor 1 [TNFR-1], TNFR-2, monocyte chemotactic protein-1, soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor [suPAR], and YKL-40) were associated with increased risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease. After accounting for the other biomarkers, higher TNFR-2 levels were most strongly associated with disease progression. These findings validate the previous literature on TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and KIM-1, and provide new insights on suPAR and YKL-40 as plasma markers of diabetic kidney disease progression that require validation.

Abstract

Background Although diabetic kidney disease is the leading cause of ESKD in the United States, identifying those patients who progress to ESKD is difficult. Efforts are under way to determine if plasma biomarkers can help identify these high-risk individuals.

Methods In our case-cohort study of 894 Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study participants with diabetes and an eGFR of <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 at baseline, participants were randomly selected for the subcohort; cases were those patients who developed progressive diabetic kidney disease (ESKD or 40% eGFR decline). Using a multiplex system, we assayed plasma biomarkers related to tubular injury, inflammation, and fibrosis (KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40). Weighted Cox regression models related biomarkers to progression of diabetic kidney disease, and mixed-effects models estimated biomarker relationships with rate of eGFR change.

Results Median follow-up was 8.7 years. Higher concentrations of KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40 were each associated with a greater risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease, even after adjustment for established clinical risk factors. After accounting for competing biomarkers, KIM-1, TNFR-2, and YKL-40 remained associated with progression of diabetic kidney disease; TNFR-2 had the highest risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.26). KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and YKL-40 were associated with rate of eGFR decline.

Conclusions Higher plasma levels of KIM-1, TNFR-1, TNFR-2, MCP-1, suPAR, and YKL-40 were associated with increased risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease; TNFR-2 had the highest risk after accounting for the other biomarkers. These findings validate previous literature on TNFR-1, TNFR-2, and KIM-1 in patients with prevalent CKD and provide new insights into the influence of suPAR and YKL-40 as plasma biomarkers that require validation.

  • diabetes
  • diabetic nephropathy
  • end stage kidney disease
  • epidemiology and outcomes
  • chronic diabetic complications
  • chronic kidney disease
  • diabetic kidney disease
  • biomarker
  • Copyright © 2021 by the American Society of Nephrology
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Journal of the American Society of Nephrology: 32 (1)
Journal of the American Society of Nephrology
Vol. 32, Issue 1
January 2021
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Association of Multiple Plasma Biomarker Concentrations with Progression of Prevalent Diabetic Kidney Disease: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study
Sarah J. Schrauben, Haochang Shou, Xiaoming Zhang, Amanda Hyre Anderson, Joseph V. Bonventre, Jing Chen, Steven Coca, Susan L. Furth, Jason H. Greenberg, Orlando M. Gutierrez, Joachim H. Ix, James P. Lash, Chirag R. Parikh, Casey M. Rebholz, Venkata Sabbisetti, Mark J. Sarnak, Michael G. Shlipak, Sushrut S. Waikar, Paul L. Kimmel, Ramachandran S. Vasan, Harold I. Feldman, Jeffrey R. Schelling, on behalf of the CKD Biomarkers Consortium and the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study Investigators
JASN Jan 2021, 32 (1) 115-126; DOI: 10.1681/ASN.2020040487

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Association of Multiple Plasma Biomarker Concentrations with Progression of Prevalent Diabetic Kidney Disease: Findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study
Sarah J. Schrauben, Haochang Shou, Xiaoming Zhang, Amanda Hyre Anderson, Joseph V. Bonventre, Jing Chen, Steven Coca, Susan L. Furth, Jason H. Greenberg, Orlando M. Gutierrez, Joachim H. Ix, James P. Lash, Chirag R. Parikh, Casey M. Rebholz, Venkata Sabbisetti, Mark J. Sarnak, Michael G. Shlipak, Sushrut S. Waikar, Paul L. Kimmel, Ramachandran S. Vasan, Harold I. Feldman, Jeffrey R. Schelling, on behalf of the CKD Biomarkers Consortium and the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study Investigators
JASN Jan 2021, 32 (1) 115-126; DOI: 10.1681/ASN.2020040487
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  • Conventional and Genetic Evidence on the Association between Adiposity and CKD
  • The Relationship between AKI and CKD in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes: An Observational Cohort Study
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Keywords

  • diabetes
  • diabetic nephropathy
  • end stage kidney disease
  • epidemiology and outcomes
  • chronic diabetic complications
  • chronic kidney disease
  • diabetic kidney disease
  • biomarker

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